Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.060614 0.068550 0.076637 0.085467 0.094808 0.104367 0.114864
2025-10-12 0.046887 0.058408 0.070706 0.084678 0.099987 0.116142 0.134374
2025-10-19 0.039254 0.053042 0.068321 0.086209 0.106306 0.127957 0.152829
2025-10-26 0.032983 0.048181 0.065617 0.086570 0.110610 0.136945 0.167620
2025-11-02 0.028550 0.044849 0.064141 0.087853 0.115532 0.146261 0.182443
2025-11-09 0.024285 0.041202 0.061878 0.087855 0.118677 0.153317 0.194505
2025-11-16 0.019480 0.036310 0.057669 0.085173 0.118387 0.156200 0.201612
2025-11-23 0.015537 0.032086 0.053933 0.082756 0.118150 0.158931 0.208357
2025-11-30 0.013514 0.030302 0.053149 0.083834 0.121968 0.166272 0.220307
2025-12-07 0.011963 0.029021 0.052900 0.085483 0.126397 0.174268 0.232961
2025-12-14 0.010968 0.028473 0.053559 0.088229 0.132119 0.183756 0.247325
2025-12-21 0.009564 0.027097 0.052970 0.089283 0.135697 0.190657 0.258632
2025-12-28 0.009886 0.028729 0.056771 0.096295 0.146946 0.207028 0.281432
2026-01-04 0.007936 0.026234 0.054603 0.095405 0.148339 0.211635 0.290473
2026-01-11 0.006872 0.025152 0.054378 0.097028 0.152838 0.219943 0.303857
2026-01-18 0.005657 0.023568 0.053294 0.097412 0.155709 0.226241 0.314826
2026-01-25 0.004801 0.022545 0.052974 0.098777 0.159787 0.233974 0.327477
2026-02-01 0.003806 0.020994 0.051723 0.098779 0.162057 0.239457 0.337410
2026-02-08 0.002530 0.018355 0.048537 0.095925 0.160512 0.240165 0.341537
2026-02-15 0.001568 0.016031 0.045650 0.093349 0.159224 0.241108 0.345879
2026-02-22 0.001195 0.015292 0.045377 0.094499 0.162811 0.248076 0.357476
2026-03-01 0.000937 0.014824 0.045536 0.096255 0.167190 0.256022 0.370252
2026-03-08 0.000808 0.014809 0.046489 0.099177 0.173123 0.265912 0.385390